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Analysis of Recent Rare Earth Price Trends
 Sep 23, 2025|View:173

Recently, the prices in the rare earth market have shown a complex fluctuating and adjusting trend, with distinct price divergences among different varieties, attracting the attention of numerous investors and industry practitioners. An in-depth analysis of the rare earth price changes during this period is of great significance for grasping the future development trend of the industry, guiding the production and operation of enterprises, and making investment decisions.

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Price Trend of Light Rare Earths: Surge in August Followed by Fluctuation in September

The price of praseodymium-neodymium oxide, a type of light rare earth, has risen sharply since August. However, in September, its price fell into fluctuation. On September 19, the domestic market price of praseodymium-neodymium oxide hovered between 570,000 and 572,000 yuan per ton, a week-on-week decrease of 0.87%. Nevertheless, from the beginning of the year to September, its price has still achieved a considerable overall increase. The quotation in September was roughly in the range of 650,000 to 700,000 yuan per ton, an increase of approximately 15% compared with the start of the year.

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The sharp price surge in August was mainly attributed to the strong demand from downstream industries such as new energy vehicles and wind power. The vigorous development of the new energy vehicle market has led to a continuous rise in the demand for rare earth permanent magnet motors. As a key raw material for the production of permanent magnet materials, praseodymium-neodymium oxide has seen its price driven up by the robust demand. In addition, the tight raw material quotas of Northern Rare Earth have restricted the market supply to a certain extent, further pushing up the price under the influence of the imbalance between supply and demand.

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The price fluctuation in September is the result of the combined effect of multiple factors. After the sharp price increase in the early stage, the procurement cost of downstream enterprises has increased significantly, leading to a decline in the procurement willingness of some enterprises and a gradual rise in the wait-and-see sentiment in the market. As market activity decreased, the price began to correct. However, September is the traditional peak consumption season, with positive market demand expectations. Some downstream users supplemented their inventories at low prices, which to a certain extent supported the price and prevented a sharp drop during the fluctuation.
Price Trend of Medium and Heavy Rare Earths: Terbium Oxide and Dysprosium Oxide Show Different Performances

Taking terbium oxide, a representative of medium and heavy rare earths, as an example, its price trend is also dramatic. On September 2, its average price reached 7,440 yuan per ton, a week-on-week increase of 5.7% and a year-on-year increase of 40.9%, maintaining a high level. However, by September 19, the price of terbium oxide was between 7.15 million and 7.2 million yuan per ton, remaining unchanged week-on-week.


The price increase of terbium oxide is mainly due to the strong export demand and the reduction in imports from Myanmar. Myanmar is an important source of medium and heavy rare earth imports for China, and the disruption in its supply has directly led to a decrease in the available supply in the domestic market. At the same time, globally, the demand for terbium oxide in high-end manufacturing industries such as aerospace and electronic information continues to grow. The situation of supply shortage has driven the price to rise continuously. The stable price in mid-September may be due to the decline in the previous market procurement enthusiasm, which caused the price to fall back. However, manufacturers have actively taken price stabilization measures to stabilize the market price, making the price stop falling and stabilize temporarily.
Dysprosium oxide also showed a slight fluctuation in September. On September 19, its price was between 1.61 million and 1.62 million yuan per ton, a week-on-week decrease of 0.62%. Earlier, due to the fact that neodymium-iron-boron magnet enterprises used holmium to replace part of dysprosium oxide, the demand for dysprosium oxide weakened, leading to a price decline. In the context of low market activity in September, the price dropped slightly further.


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